Norway · 1. Division

Strommen vs Sandnes ULF Prediction

Strommen badgeStrommen vs Sandnes ULF badgeSandnes ULF

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the away win's low 10% still leaves a narrow path for an upset.
  • Strommen's superior form, attack, and defence ratings support the home side, but the Poisson and head-to-head metrics lean toward Sandnes, creating genuine uncertainty.
  • Both teams sit level on seven wins, so the draw's equal 45% share reflects their comparable records rather than a decisive home advantage.
  • Strommen's recent 1-9 collapse at Tromsdalen shows their defensive volatility, which tempers confidence in the double-chance advice despite stronger overall form.
  • Sandnes have scored in four of their last five matches, suggesting they can threaten a Strommen defence that has kept only three clean sheets all season.
  • The most recent head-to-head ended 2-0 to Sandnes, so the historical edge slightly undercuts the model's preference for Strommen or draw.
Predicted winner
Strommen
Betting advice
Double chance : Strommen or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorStrommenSandnes ULF
Form71.0%29.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson45.0%55.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total53.8%46.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Strommen

Recent form: LWDLLLLLLDLWWLDWLLWWWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Sandnes ULF

Recent form: LLWDLLWLWLWWWDLLLLLWDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sandnes ULF 2–0 Strommen (14 Jun 2026)
  2. Strommen 2–2 Sandnes ULF (16 Oct 2021)
  3. Sandnes ULF 3–2 Strommen (18 Aug 2021)
  4. Sandnes ULF 2–2 Strommen (28 Oct 2020)
  5. Strommen 4–0 Sandnes ULF (31 Jul 2020)
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