Strømsgodset II vs Fløya Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Fløya a combined 90% chance of avoiding defeat, with the draw and away win each at 45% and Strømsgodset II's win probability at just 10%, which frames the advice of a draw-or-Fløya double chance with over 1.5 goals. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Fløya lead on form (77 versus 23), attack (63 versus 38), defence (58 versus 42), Poisson (56 versus 44), goals (73 versus 27) and total (69.2 versus 31.2), leaving the head-to-head split of 88 to 13 as the most lopsided indicator of all. The season records tell a similar story: Fløya have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 20 matches with a six-game winning streak, while Strømsgodset II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses, and their away form is especially weak with seven defeats and no clean sheets on the road. Fløya's goals analysis supports the over 1.5 element, since they average 2.80 goals scored per game and have gone over 1.5 goals in 16 of 20 matches, whereas Strømsgodset II average 2.00 scored and have split their 1.5-goal line exactly 10 over and 10 under. Defensively the gap is narrower than the attacking one but still favours Fløya, who concede 1.60 per game against Strømsgodset II's 2.20, though Fløya's concession of 13 goals in the opening 15 minutes is a vulnerability that could give the hosts an early foothold. The last-five records qualify the headline dominance somewhat, as Strømsgodset II have lost four of five including a 5-3 defeat at Fauske Sprint, while Fløya have won three of five but were beaten 4-1 at home by Rosenborg. The head-to-head record is the strongest single signal, with Fløya winning 4-0 in June 2026 and 2-1 in 2022 before a 2-2 draw, so Strømsgodset II have never beaten Fløya in this sample. Taken together, the evidence points toward Fløya avoiding defeat in a match likely to produce at least two goals, but the small head-to-head sample, Strømsgodset II's occasional home scoring and Fløya's early-game defensive lapses mean the 45% draw share is a meaningful qualification rather than a formality.

Predicted winner

Fløya

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Fløya and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Fløya 4–0 Strømsgodset II (21 Jun 2026)
2. Fløya 2–1 Strømsgodset II (08 Aug 2022)
3. Strømsgodset II 2–2 Fløya (24 Apr 2022)