3. Division - Girone 2 · Norway

Strindheim vs Molde II Prediction

· Leangen Bolig Arena

Strindheim badgeStrindheim vs Molde II badgeMolde II

Match prediction

The existing model gives Strindheim a 45% home win and 45% draw against Molde II, leaving only a 10% away probability, so the advice combines a Strindheim-or-draw double chance with over 1.5 goals. That split between home and draw is notable because the comparison metrics lean more decisively toward Strindheim: form 57 versus 43, defence 75 versus 25, Poisson 71 versus 29, head-to-head 88 versus 13, goals 75 versus 25, and total 68.5 versus 31.7, with only attack (45 versus 55) favouring Molde II. Strindheim's season record of 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across 20 matches, including 7 home wins from 9, supports the stronger overall profile, while Molde II's 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses include just 2 away wins from 10 and 6 away defeats. The goals analysis reinforces the over 1.5 element: Strindheim average 2.40 scored and 1.30 conceded, with 15 of 20 matches going over 1.5, and Molde II average 2.80 scored but 2.90 conceded, with 16 of 20 going over 1.5 and 13 of 20 over 2.5. Molde II's defensive numbers are the clearest weakness, conceding 3.20 per away game and 57 in total, which helps explain why the model still expects goals even though it cannot separate a home win from a draw. Recent form adds a qualification: Strindheim's last five read D-W-W-W-L, including a 0-8 home loss to Levanger, while Molde II's read W-D-W-L-W, so both arrive with mixed signals rather than a clean trend. The head-to-head record is also mixed, with Strindheim winning 4-2 away in June 2026, a 2-0 home win in 2021, and an unplayed 2020 fixture, so the 88-versus-13 head-to-head split rests on a very small sample. Overall, the evidence broadly supports the double chance and over 1.5 goals, but the 45% draw probability and Strindheim's heavy recent defeat suggest the home-win element is less secure than the goal expectation.

Predicted winner
Strindheim
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Strindheim or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorStrindheimMolde II
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson71.0%29.0%
H2h88.0%13.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total68.5%31.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Strindheim

Recent form: LLDWDWWWLLWWDWWWWWWD.

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Molde II

Recent form: DDLWLDWWLLLWDLWWLWDW.

Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Molde II 2–4 Strindheim (21 Jun 2026)
  2. Strindheim 2–0 Molde II (14 Aug 2021)
  3. Strindheim —–— Molde II (15 Aug 2020)
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