4. liga - Divizie A · Czech-Republic

Strakonice vs Slavoj Český Krumlov Prediction

Strakonice badgeStrakonice vs Slavoj Český Krumlov badgeSlavoj Český Krumlov

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Strakonice as a combo winner with over 2.5 goals, yet its own probabilities of 45% home, 45% draw and 10% away show that this is far from a clear-cut call. The comparison metrics reinforce that tension: Strakonice lead on form (54.00 to 46.00), attack (57.00 to 43.00) and especially the Poisson measure (70.00 to 30.00), while Slavoj Český Krumlov hold the better defensive rating (56.00 to 44.00). Those ratings are broadly consistent with the season records, since Strakonice have two wins, one draw and three defeats from six, whereas the visitors have two wins and five defeats from seven with no draws at all. Strakonice's home profile is the strongest single argument for the advice, as both their wins came at home, including a 5-2 victory, and they scored nine goals in three home matches at 3.00 per game. Their away form is the main counterweight, with no wins on the road, a 6-0 loss and 12 goals conceded in three away fixtures, which explains why the model stops short of a straight home win. Slavoj Český Krumlov's goals analysis is similarly mixed, as they average only 1.60 goals per game and have gone under 2.5 goals in six of seven matches, yet they concede 2.70 per game and shipped five in a 1-5 home defeat. The last-five records show both teams alternating results, with Strakonice's sequence including a 4-4 draw at Komárov and a 3-0 home win over Rokycany, while the visitors' most recent five contain a 3-0 win at Nyrsko but also three defeats. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either support or undermine the prediction, and the goals-for and goals-against minute breakdowns are also unavailable. Overall, the home advantage, attacking output and Poisson edge point toward Strakonice and a higher-scoring game, but the 45% draw probability and the visitors' superior defensive rating mean the over 2.5 element carries at least as much uncertainty as the winner.

Predicted winner
Strakonice
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Strakonice and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorStrakoniceSlavoj Český Krumlov
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson70.0%30.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total56.3%43.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Strakonice

Recent form: LLWLWD.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Slavoj Český Krumlov

Recent form: LLWLLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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