Storfors vs Friska Viljor Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Friska Viljor a 45% win probability and Storfors only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Friska Viljor rather than a straight away win. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Friska Viljor leads on form (56 vs 44), attack (56 vs 44), Poisson (63 vs 37), goals (90 vs 10) and total (65.5 vs 34.5), yet Storfors holds a clear defensive edge at 65 versus 35. The head-to-head record is the most lopsided input, with Friska Viljor at 93 and Storfors at 7, reflecting five Friska Viljor wins, two draws and no Storfors victories across seven meetings, including a 2-0 Friska Viljor home win in August 2026. Both teams' season records are otherwise remarkably similar, as each has played 19 matches with six wins, but Friska Viljor's seven draws and only six defeats contrast with Storfors' three draws and ten defeats. Friska Viljor's goals analysis shows 38 scored and 35 conceded (2.00 and 1.80 per game), while Storfors has 28 scored and 40 conceded (1.50 and 2.10), so the away side's advantage is real but not overwhelming. The last-five records qualify the headline gap: Storfors have two wins, one draw and two defeats, including a 3-0 win over Umea FF and a 3-0 home win over Fransta, while Friska Viljor have two wins and three defeats, conceding five at home to Umeå FC Akademi and four at home to Umea FF. Friska Viljor's recent 2-0 win over Storfors on 22 August 2026 is the most direct evidence supporting the advice, although Storfors' 3-0 away win at Umea FF and clean sheets show they can be competitive. The draw probability of 45% is consistent with Friska Viljor's seven draws in 19 matches and with two drawn head-to-head meetings, so the double chance sensibly covers the most plausible alternative to an away win. Overall, the evidence points toward Friska Viljor avoiding defeat rather than dominating, and the defensive metric favouring Storfors is the main reason the model stops short of backing an outright away victory.

Predicted winner

Friska Viljor

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Friska Viljor

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Friska Viljor 2–0 Storfors (22 Aug 2026)
2. Storfors 0–1 Friska Viljor (05 Aug 2023)
3. Friska Viljor 3–0 Storfors (01 Apr 2023)
4. Friska Viljor 2–0 Storfors (13 Aug 2022)
5. Storfors 1–1 Friska Viljor (23 Apr 2022)