Stord vs Vard Prediction

Match prediction

• Vard's superior form, attack, defence, and head-to-head metrics all point one way, yet the model splits draw and away almost evenly, so the double chance sensibly hedges that gap.
• Stord's home record without a win across ten matches undercuts any home advantage, reinforcing why the model assigns the hosts only a marginal chance.
• Both sides concede regularly and Stord's home games average over three goals against, supporting the over 2.5 component of the advice.
• Vard's away scoring is far more modest than their home output, which tempers the away-win probability and justifies pairing the double chance with goals.
• The lone head-to-head meeting produced five goals in a Vard win, a small sample that nonetheless aligns with the expected open, high-scoring pattern.
• Vard's recent form includes heavy wins but also a loss and a draw, so the draw-or-away combination reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear away edge.

Predicted winner

Vard

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Vard and +2.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Vard 4–1 Stord (22 May 2026)
2. Stord —–— Vard (20 Feb 2025)