Stjørdals-Blink vs Ull/Kisa Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a Stjørdals-Blink win combined with over 1.5 goals, yet its own probabilities of 45% home, 45% draw and 10% away show that this is far from a clear-cut call. The comparison metrics reinforce the home side's edge in form (88 versus 13), attack (64 versus 36) and Poisson (80 versus 20), while the head-to-head (38 versus 62) and goals (48 versus 52) categories pull in the opposite direction. That tension matters because Ull/Kisa have historically been competitive in this matchup, even though their current form string of one win in twenty, with sixteen defeats, is markedly worse than Stjørdals-Blink's eight wins and nine losses. The goals analysis adds further qualification: Stjørdals-Blink average 1.70 goals for and 1.50 against, whereas Ull/Kisa average only 1.30 for but concede 3.40, including 3.80 away from home, which supports the over 1.5 element more than a comfortable home victory. Both teams' scoring is heavily weighted late, with Stjørdals-Blink netting 30.30% of their goals in the 76-90 window and Ull/Kisa 44.44%, suggesting the match could remain open or be decided in its closing stages. The last-five records are less one-sided than the season form implies: Stjørdals-Blink have one win, one draw and three defeats, including a 0-5 loss at Kjelsås, while Ull/Kisa have lost all five, albeit with a remarkable 6-7 at Elverum showing they can still score. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight, with Ull/Kisa winning three of the last ten meetings, Stjørdals-Blink winning two and four draws, and the most recent fixture ending 3-2 to Ull/Kisa in May 2026. Overall, the evidence supports the model's home-and-over lean through form, attack and Poisson, but the 45% draw probability, the adverse head-to-head and the volatile defensive numbers mean the advice should be treated as a plausible rather than a secure outcome.

Predicted winner

Stjørdals-Blink

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Stjørdals-Blink and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ull/Kisa 2–3 Stjørdals-Blink (02 May 2026)
2. Ull/Kisa 3–3 Stjørdals-Blink (06 Sep 2025)
3. Stjørdals-Blink 2–3 Ull/Kisa (07 Jun 2025)
4. Ull/Kisa 2–1 Stjørdals-Blink (06 Oct 2024)
5. Stjørdals-Blink 2–2 Ull/Kisa (07 Apr 2024)