Štětí vs Slaný Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Slaný a 45% win probability and Štětí only 10%, with a further 45% on the draw, so the advice of a draw-or-Slaný double chance rests on a combined 90% and reflects a clear but not overwhelming lean toward the visitors. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Slaný leads on attack (65 vs 35), Poisson (64 vs 36), goals (76 vs 24) and total (67.2 vs 32.8), while Štětí's only edge is form at 54 versus 46, a narrow and arguably fragile counterweight. The head-to-head section is the most emphatic support, with Slaný at 93 versus Štětí's 7, and the recent meetings show why: Slaný won 3-1 in June 2026 and 5-1 away in November 2025, although the 1-1 draw in May 2025 and Štětí's 4-1 home win in April 2022 show this fixture has not been uniformly one-sided. The goals analysis complicates the picture, because Štětí average 2.30 goals scored but also concede 1.40, while Slaný score only 1.30 and concede 2.10, meaning Slaný's defensive numbers are the weaker side of their profile despite the model's overall preference. Štětí's last five (W-D-L-L-W) include a 5-1 away defeat to Baník Sokolov and a 1-2 home loss to Chomutov, so their form score of 54 looks generous relative to those results, whereas Slaný's last five (L-W-L-L-W) include a 9-1 home win over Slavoj Vyšehrad and a 2-0 away win at Chomutov, suggesting a high-variance team capable of both heavy wins and flat defeats. The team analysis adds nuance: Štětí have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from seven, with a 9-1 home win as their biggest victory, while Slaný also have 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, and their away record is notably poor with no wins and a 5-1 loss. Because Slaný's away form is the weakest strand of their case, the double-chance advice is better supported by the head-to-head and attacking metrics than by their travelling record, and the 45% draw probability is a reasonable hedge against exactly that inconsistency. Overall, the evidence points toward Slaný avoiding defeat more often than not, but the small samples, Štětí's superior form score and Slaný's away vulnerability mean the prediction should be treated as a moderate lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner

Slaný

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Slaný

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Slaný 3–1 Štětí (13 Jun 2026)
2. Štětí 1–5 Slaný (15 Nov 2025)
3. Štětí 1–1 Slaný (31 May 2025)
4. Slaný 2–1 Štětí (02 Nov 2024)
5. Slaný 2–0 Štětí (25 May 2024)