Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz Prediction
Match prediction
- Kalisz's unbeaten away record and superior defensive score explain why the model favors them despite the draw carrying equal probability.
- The 45% draw probability reflects Kalisz's five draws in ten matches and Stargard's tendency to split points at home.
- Stargard's stronger attack score is offset by Kalisz's clear defensive edge, supporting a double chance rather than an outright away win.
- Kalisz's perfect head-to-head record is based on only two 2020 meetings, so it strengthens but does not dominate the prediction.
- Both teams' recent matches show frequent draws and low clean-sheet counts, reinforcing the draw-or-Kalisz advice over a home win.
- Stargard's winless home clean sheets and Kalisz's away resilience make the 10% home probability consistent with the evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Kalisz
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Kalisz
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Stargard Szczeciński | Kalisz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Stargard Szczeciński
Recent form: DLWLWWLWDD.
Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.
Kalisz
Recent form: WWDLDWDDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Stargard Szczeciński 0–4 Kalisz (06 Mar 2021)
- Kalisz 2–0 Stargard Szczeciński (29 Aug 2020)


