Poland · III Liga - Group 2

Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz Prediction

Stargard Szczeciński badgeStargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz badgeKalisz

Match prediction

  • Kalisz's unbeaten away record and superior defensive score explain why the model favors them despite the draw carrying equal probability.
  • The 45% draw probability reflects Kalisz's five draws in ten matches and Stargard's tendency to split points at home.
  • Stargard's stronger attack score is offset by Kalisz's clear defensive edge, supporting a double chance rather than an outright away win.
  • Kalisz's perfect head-to-head record is based on only two 2020 meetings, so it strengthens but does not dominate the prediction.
  • Both teams' recent matches show frequent draws and low clean-sheet counts, reinforcing the draw-or-Kalisz advice over a home win.
  • Stargard's winless home clean sheets and Kalisz's away resilience make the 10% home probability consistent with the evidence.
Predicted winner
Kalisz
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Kalisz
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorStargard SzczecińskiKalisz
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson48.0%52.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total47.3%52.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Stargard Szczeciński

Recent form: DLWLWWLWDD.

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Kalisz

Recent form: WWDLDWDDDW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Stargard Szczeciński 0–4 Kalisz (06 Mar 2021)
  2. Kalisz 2–0 Stargard Szczeciński (29 Aug 2020)
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