Staphorst vs TEC Prediction
Match prediction
- Staphorst's win probability matches the draw at 35%, so the double chance correctly hedges a genuinely uncertain home outcome.
- TEC's stronger form, attack, and Poisson ratings conflict with Staphorst's perfect head-to-head record, explaining why the model splits the probabilities evenly.
- Staphorst's seven-match winless run with three home defeats undercuts the home side of the double chance despite the venue advantage.
- Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets, supporting the over 2.5 goals component of the advice.
- Staphorst's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in all seven games, a tension that qualifies the goals half of the combo.
- TEC's recent matches average high scoring with both teams finding the net, reinforcing the likelihood of goals despite Staphorst's low totals.
- Predicted winner
- Staphorst
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Staphorst or draw and +2.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +2.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Staphorst | TEC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Attack | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| Defence | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Poisson | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Staphorst
Recent form: DLDLDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
TEC
Recent form: LWLWDWW.
Average goals scored: 3.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- TEC 1–2 Staphorst (24 Jan 2026)
- Staphorst 3–1 TEC (30 Aug 2025)