Poland · III Liga - Group 3

Stal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin Prediction

Stal Brzeg badgeStal Brzeg vs Carina Gubin badgeCarina Gubin

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities show Stal Brzeg are favoured only jointly, so the outright winner advice carries clear draw risk.
  • Stal Brzeg's strong home record, three wins and no away wins, contrasts with Carina Gubin's single win all season, supporting the home-side lean.
  • Carina Gubin's 71% head-to-head edge conflicts with their poor current form, suggesting historical dominance may not reflect present strength.
  • Stal Brzeg's superior form, attack and Poisson metrics align, while equal defence scores indicate the edge comes mainly from scoring rather than solidity.
  • Carina Gubin's low scoring, 0.70 per game, and four failures to score weaken their chances despite the head-to-head record.
  • Stal Brzeg's away defeats and Carina's away losses mean both sides struggle on the road, but this fixture favours the home team.
Predicted winner
Stal Brzeg
Betting advice
Winner : Stal Brzeg
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorStal BrzegCarina Gubin
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson88.0%12.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals38.0%62.0%
Total57.8%42.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Stal Brzeg

Recent form: DWDLWLLLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Carina Gubin

Recent form: WLDLLLLDLL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Carina Gubin 3–0 Stal Brzeg (23 Nov 2024)
  2. Stal Brzeg 1–2 Carina Gubin (03 Aug 2024)
  3. Carina Gubin 1–1 Stal Brzeg (20 May 2023)
  4. Stal Brzeg 0–2 Carina Gubin (14 Oct 2022)
  5. Stal Brzeg 3–0 Carina Gubin (13 May 2022)
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