Stadeln vs Großbardorf Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Großbardorf a double-chance edge of draw or away at 45% each, leaving Stadeln as only a 10% home win, so the advice is essentially a bet against a home victory rather than a strong endorsement of either side. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Großbardorf lead on form (60 versus 40) and attack (60 versus 40), while Stadeln hold a narrow defensive edge (52 versus 48) and, notably, a Poisson advantage (54 versus 46) that cuts against the headline probabilities. The season records deepen this tension: Stadeln have three wins, four draws and four losses from eleven, whereas Großbardorf have three wins, one draw and seven losses, meaning the visitors' superior form score rests on a thinner draw base and a heavier defeat count. Großbardorf's goals profile is the more volatile, averaging 1.10 scored but 2.10 conceded, including 2.60 against per away game, while Stadeln average 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded with a steadier home split of 0.80 for and 1.80 against. The last-five records reinforce Großbardorf's inconsistency rather than a clear upward trend, as they alternate two home wins (4-1 and 3-1) with three defeats, the heaviest being a 6-2 loss at Fortuna Regensburg and a 3-0 home reverse to Eintracht Bamberg. Stadeln's recent run is similarly poor but differently shaped, with three straight losses (1-4, 0-3, 1-2) followed by a 1-1 draw and a 3-1 win, suggesting they can be competitive but have leaked goals badly in the current sequence. The goals-analysis under/over splits point toward a low-scoring contest, with both teams under 2.5 goals in nine of eleven matches and under 3.5 in ten of eleven, which helps explain why the draw carries such a high 45% share. However, the head-to-head section is empty, and the comparison's h2h and goals fields are both 0.00, so there is no direct meeting evidence to confirm or contradict the model's lean. Overall, the evidence supports a cautious draw-or-Großbardorf position through form and attack, but the Poisson split, Stadeln's defensive edge and the absence of head-to-head data mean this should be treated as a marginal, uncertain call rather than a confident one.

Predicted winner

Großbardorf

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Großbardorf

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.