Second Amateur Division - ACFF · Belgium
Stade Verviers vs Ostiches Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Stade Verviers, pairing a 45% home win probability with a 45% draw and only 10% for Ostiches, and frames that as a combo winner plus over 1.5 goals. That split between home and draw is important, because the comparison metrics are far less balanced than the probabilities: Stade Verviers lead on form (56 vs 44), attack (60 vs 40), defence (62 vs 38), goals (60 vs 40) and total (62.8 vs 37.2), while the head-to-head comparison is dead level at 50-50. The Poisson split of 89 to 11 is the most extreme single input and appears to anchor the low away probability, yet it sits awkwardly beside a head-to-head record that offers no clear edge. Stade Verviers' last five (WWLWD) include a 5-0 home win over Union Namur and a 3-2 away win at Acren-Lessines, but also a 1-0 loss at Braine and a 1-1 draw at Jette, so their form is strong rather than flawless. Their goals analysis supports the attacking side of the advice, with 12 goals scored at 2.40 per game and only five conceded at 1.00, including 4.00 goals per home game and 0.50 conceded at home. Ostiches' last five (WWDLD) show two wins, two draws and a 4-1 loss at Richelle United, and their goals profile is noticeably softer, with eight scored at 1.60 per game and eight conceded at 1.60, including 2.50 conceded per away game. The head-to-head record is genuinely mixed across four meetings: Stade Verviers won 2-0 at home in January 2025 and 1-0 away in April 2026, while Ostiches won 1-0 at home in September 2024 and 1-0 away in October 2025, which tempers any suggestion of home dominance. The over 1.5 component looks reasonably supported, since Stade Verviers went over 1.5 goals in three of five matches and Ostiches in two of five, though the 45% draw probability means the outright winner leg carries real uncertainty.
- Predicted winner
- Stade Verviers
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Stade Verviers and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Stade Verviers | Ostiches |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Stade Verviers
Recent form: WWLWD.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Ostiches
Recent form: WWDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ostiches 0–1 Stade Verviers (04 Apr 2026)
- Stade Verviers 0–1 Ostiches (26 Oct 2025)
- Stade Verviers 2–0 Ostiches (19 Jan 2025)
- Ostiches 1–0 Stade Verviers (22 Sep 2024)