Stade Marocain vs Ittihad Khemisset Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Stade Marocain's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
• Ittihad Khemisset's perfect recent form and superior attack and defence ratings support the away side, though both samples rest on a single match.
• Stade Marocain's winless run and one-goal scoring average in that same small sample weaken the home side without fully eliminating it.
• Head-to-head history is balanced at 50-50 with three draws in six meetings, reinforcing the draw component of the double chance.
• The Poisson goals estimate is zero for both teams, so the goal-based metrics add little discrimination beyond the form and comparison splits.
• Because the evidence rests on one fixture each and stale head-to-head records, the probabilities should be read as directional rather than precise.

Predicted winner

Ittihad Khemisset

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Ittihad Khemisset

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ittihad Khemisset 1–1 Stade Marocain (18 Mar 2023)
2. Stade Marocain 1–1 Ittihad Khemisset (08 Oct 2022)
3. Ittihad Khemisset 2–2 Stade Marocain (20 Feb 2022)
4. Stade Marocain 1–0 Ittihad Khemisset (17 Oct 2021)
5. Stade Marocain 1–2 Ittihad Khemisset (18 Apr 2021)