Stade Gabesien vs Moknine Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than an outright win, since neither outcome is clearly favoured.
- Stade Gabesien's recent form is stronger, with a draw and a win, while Moknine lost its latest match 0-3 at home.
- Moknine's defensive collapse, conceding three goals in one game, supports the advice despite the small one-match sample.
- Head-to-head results are evenly split with two draws, reinforcing the draw component of the double chance.
- Both teams' goal data come from single matches, so attacking and defensive metrics are too thin to strengthen either side decisively.
- The low 10% away probability makes a Moknine win unlikely, aligning with the advice excluding that outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Stade Gabesien
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Stade Gabesien or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Stade Gabesien | Moknine |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Stade Gabesien
Recent form: D.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Moknine
Recent form: L.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Moknine 0–0 Stade Gabesien (11 Apr 2026)
- Stade Gabesien 4–1 Moknine (16 Nov 2025)
- Stade Gabesien 2–1 Moknine (02 Mar 2024)
- Moknine 2–1 Stade Gabesien (29 Oct 2023)
- Moknine 3–1 Stade Gabesien (18 Mar 2023)