Stabæk W vs Brann W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Brann W a 45% win probability and Stabæk W only 10%, with a 45% draw probability, so the "draw or Brann W" double chance reflects a clear but not overwhelming lean toward the visitors. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Brann W dominate form (65 vs 35), defence (89 vs 11), Poisson (86 vs 14), goals (92 vs 8), head-to-head (100 vs 0) and total (76.4 vs 23.6), while attack is the one category split evenly at 50-50. The team analysis explains much of that gap: Brann W are unbeaten in 16 league games with 14 wins, 12 clean sheets and just one failure to score, whereas Stabæk W have 7 wins, 6 defeats and only 4 clean sheets. Brann W's goal profile is also far more potent, averaging 3.30 scored and 0.30 conceded per game compared with Stabæk W's 2.10 and 1.20, and their 17 goals in the 76-90 minute bracket suggest a side that finishes matches strongly. Stabæk W's attacking threat is real but concentrated, with 11 of their 33 goals arriving in the 16-30 minute window, and their defensive record worsens after the break, conceding 12 of 19 goals in the 46-75 minute range. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Brann W have won four of five, including 4-0 and 3-0 league wins plus a 2-0 European victory, with only a 4-0 loss to Austria Wien interrupting the run, while Stabæk W have two wins, two defeats and a draw, conceding four at Rosenborg and failing to score at home to Røa. The head-to-head record is the most awkward evidence for a simple away-win reading, since Brann W lead it 100-0 on the model's scale but Stabæk W have won three of the last five meetings at Nadderud Stadion, including 1-0 and 3-1 victories, and the most recent clash in May 2026 was a 1-0 Brann W home win. That venue-specific pattern, combined with the 45% draw probability, helps explain why the advice stops short of backing Brann W outright and instead covers the draw, even though the broader form, defensive and goals data point strongly toward the visitors. The main qualification is that the head-to-head sample is small and mixed, so it tempers rather than overturns the weight of the season-long evidence behind the double chance.

Predicted winner

Brann W

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Brann W

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Brann W 1–0 Stabæk W (08 May 2026)
2. Stabæk W 1–3 Brann W (07 Nov 2025)
3. Brann W 3–0 Stabæk W (15 May 2025)
4. Stabæk W 0–1 Brann W (28 Mar 2025)
5. Brann W 3–0 Stabæk W (12 Oct 2024)