St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W Prediction
· NV Arena
Match prediction
- St. Pölten's perfect seven-win league record and 0.30 goals-against average underpin the double-chance advice, though the model's 50-50 split signals caution.
- Sturm Graz's recent losses to Wolfsburg and Austria Wien suggest their form edge is weaker than their six wins imply.
- St. Pölten's head-to-head dominance at NV Arena, including two clean-sheet wins, supports the home-or-draw recommendation.
- St. Pölten's 4.50 home scoring average against Sturm Graz's 0.80 conceded average points to a controlled home performance.
- Sturm Graz's away resilience, unbeaten with just one goal conceded, is the main threat to the double-chance advice.
- The 50% draw probability reflects that Sturm Graz have avoided defeat in several recent meetings, qualifying the home-win expectation.
- Predicted winner
- St. Pölten W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : St. Pölten W or draw
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | St. Pölten W | Sturm Graz W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Total | 70.8% | 29.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
St. Pölten W
Recent form: WWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 3.60 per match.
Sturm Graz W
Recent form: WWWDWWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sturm Graz W 2–3 St. Pölten W (22 May 2026)
- St. Pölten W 2–0 Sturm Graz W (01 May 2026)
- St. Pölten W 2–0 Sturm Graz W (01 Nov 2025)
- Sturm Graz W 1–2 St. Pölten W (23 Aug 2025)
- Sturm Graz W 1–1 St. Pölten W (10 May 2025)