World · CONCACAF Nations League
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba Prediction
Match prediction
- Cuba's perfect defensive record across two wins contrasts with St. Kitts and Nevis conceding once, supporting the draw-or-Cuba advice.
- Both teams won their opening two matches, so the model's near-even split between Cuba and the draw reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear superiority.
- The head-to-head split, with each side winning at home, tempers Cuba's edge and explains why the draw carries equal probability.
- Cuba's clean sheets in both fixtures suggest a low-scoring floor, which keeps the draw live within the double-chance advice.
- St. Kitts and Nevis scoring five goals across two games shows they can contribute, so the away win is not treated as assured.
- With only two matches played each, the form and goal samples are small, so the probabilities should be read as tentative rather than decisive.
- Predicted winner
- Cuba
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Cuba
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | St. Kitts and Nevis | Cuba |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
St. Kitts and Nevis
Recent form: WW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Cuba
Recent form: WW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Cuba 4–0 St. Kitts and Nevis (18 Nov 2024)
- St. Kitts and Nevis 2–1 Cuba (15 Nov 2024)


