World · CONCACAF Nations League

St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba Prediction

St. Kitts and Nevis badgeSt. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba badgeCuba

Match prediction

  • Cuba's perfect defensive record across two wins contrasts with St. Kitts and Nevis conceding once, supporting the draw-or-Cuba advice.
  • Both teams won their opening two matches, so the model's near-even split between Cuba and the draw reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear superiority.
  • The head-to-head split, with each side winning at home, tempers Cuba's edge and explains why the draw carries equal probability.
  • Cuba's clean sheets in both fixtures suggest a low-scoring floor, which keeps the draw live within the double-chance advice.
  • St. Kitts and Nevis scoring five goals across two games shows they can contribute, so the away win is not treated as assured.
  • With only two matches played each, the form and goal samples are small, so the probabilities should be read as tentative rather than decisive.
Predicted winner
Cuba
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Cuba
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSt. Kitts and NevisCuba
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals29.0%71.0%
Total44.8%55.3%

Team form and goal analysis

St. Kitts and Nevis

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Cuba

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cuba 4–0 St. Kitts and Nevis (18 Nov 2024)
  2. St. Kitts and Nevis 2–1 Cuba (15 Nov 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…