Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
SS Reyes vs Real Ávila Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double chance is the safer expression of its lean toward SS Reyes.
- SS Reyes' perfect home defensive record, with two clean sheets, supports both the home side of the double chance and the under 3.5 goals.
- Real Ávila's attack rates higher, but all its wins came at home, while both away trips ended in defeat, weakening its case.
- Every SS Reyes and Real Ávila match this season stayed under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the low-scoring advice despite Ávila's scoring threat.
- The single head-to-head meeting is a 2024 friendly, too small and stale a sample to carry much weight.
- SS Reyes' recent form includes two scoreless outings, so the draw component of the double chance remains a genuine possibility.
- Predicted winner
- SS Reyes
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : SS Reyes or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | SS Reyes | Real Ávila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Attack | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Defence | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
SS Reyes
Recent form: WWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Real Ávila
Recent form: LLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- SS Reyes 2–1 Real Ávila (21 Aug 2024)