Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern

SpVgg Unterhaching vs FC Schweinfurt 05 Prediction

· Uhlsport Park

SpVgg Unterhaching badgeSpVgg Unterhaching vs FC Schweinfurt 05 badgeFC Schweinfurt 05

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each, leaving only a tenth for an away win, so the double chance reflects a two-outcome match rather than a clear favourite.
  • Unterhaching's unbeaten home record with three clean sheets anchors the defensive edge, while Schweinfurt's away form shows four losses in six.
  • Schweinfurt's recent five-match sequence of four defeats, including heavy away losses, contrasts sharply with Unterhaching's unbeaten run and supports avoiding an away win.
  • The head-to-head record leans toward Unterhaching but includes away defeats, so it qualifies rather than confirms the home-side advantage.
  • Both attacks average modest totals, yet Schweinfurt concede far more per game, suggesting the draw half of the advice carries real weight.
  • Unterhaching's tendency toward draws, four in ten matches, explains why the model hedges the home win with draw coverage instead of backing a straight victory.
Predicted winner
SpVgg Unterhaching
Betting advice
Double chance : SpVgg Unterhaching or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorSpVgg UnterhachingFC Schweinfurt 05
Form79.0%21.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence74.0%26.0%
Poisson83.0%17.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals57.0%43.0%
Total69.2%30.8%

Team form and goal analysis

SpVgg Unterhaching

Recent form: WWDLDWWWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

FC Schweinfurt 05

Recent form: LDDWWWLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. FC Schweinfurt 05 2–1 SpVgg Unterhaching (26 May 2023)
  2. SpVgg Unterhaching 4–3 FC Schweinfurt 05 (29 Oct 2022)
  3. FC Schweinfurt 05 0–2 SpVgg Unterhaching (23 Apr 2022)
  4. SpVgg Unterhaching 1–1 FC Schweinfurt 05 (15 Mar 2022)
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