SpVgg Unterhaching vs Eichstätt Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a double chance on SpVgg Unterhaching or draw, with home and draw each at 45% and Eichstätt at only 10%, so the advice reflects a broadly even split between the two most likely outcomes rather than a clear home win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Eichstätt actually edge form (55.00 vs 45.00) and attack (53.00 vs 47.00), while defence is level at 50.00, suggesting the away side is not obviously inferior on recent output. The Poisson split of 100.00 to 0.00 and the head-to-head split of 71.00 to 29.00 in Unterhaching's favour are the strongest pro-home signals, but they sit alongside the goals comparison (63.00 vs 38.00) and total (55.20 vs 45.00), which point the same direction and help explain why the draw is still rated as highly as the home win. Unterhaching's eight-game record of five wins, two draws and one loss, with five clean sheets and a 3-0 home win among their best results, shows a defensively solid side whose 0.00 goals-against average at home contrasts with a 1.20 average away. Eichstätt's ten-game record is also five wins, two draws and three losses, but their goals analysis is more volatile: 1.80 goals scored per home game against 0.80 away, and 1.00 conceded at home against 1.80 away, including a 5-1 away defeat. The last-five records reinforce that volatility, as Unterhaching have won three of five with a 3-0 loss at Illertissen, while Eichstätt have won four of five but were beaten 3-0 away at Bayern München II. The head-to-head record is the clearest historical counterweight, with Unterhaching winning the most recent meeting 1-0 at this venue and a 4-1 home win in 2023, yet Eichstätt won three straight encounters between 2021 and 2022, so the 71.00 to 29.00 split may overstate how permanent that edge is. Overall, the evidence supports treating Unterhaching as the safer side to avoid defeat rather than a dominant winner, since their defensive record and head-to-head history align with the model's advice, while Eichstätt's better form and attack numbers keep the draw probability high and make the 10% away figure look like the least supported part of the prediction.

Predicted winner

SpVgg Unterhaching

Betting advice

Double chance : SpVgg Unterhaching or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. SpVgg Unterhaching 1–0 Eichstätt (20 Mar 2026)
2. Eichstätt 1–1 SpVgg Unterhaching (06 Sep 2025)
3. SpVgg Unterhaching 4–1 Eichstätt (15 Apr 2023)
4. Eichstätt 0–3 SpVgg Unterhaching (24 Sep 2022)
5. SpVgg Unterhaching 1–4 Eichstätt (25 Feb 2022)