Belgium · First Amateur Division

Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Heist Prediction

Spouwen-Mopertingen badgeSpouwen-Mopertingen vs Heist badgeHeist

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Heist's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
  • Spouwen-Mopertingen's superior attack rating and Poisson share support the home-leaning double chance despite identical form and head-to-head splits.
  • Both teams scoring in every recent match and neither keeping regular clean sheets make the +1.5 goals component the safest part of the advice.
  • Heist's away defeats and 3.00 away goals-against average expose the defensive weakness that keeps the draw as a genuine fallback.
  • The head-to-head record shows both meetings won by the away side, a small sample that tempers confidence in the home-leaning prediction.
  • Late goals dominate both teams' concessions, suggesting the +1.5 line could be threatened only if scoring stays unusually early and sparse.
Predicted winner
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Spouwen-Mopertingen or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSpouwen-MopertingenHeist
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson74.0%26.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total56.3%43.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Spouwen-Mopertingen

Recent form: DLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Heist

Recent form: LWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Spouwen-Mopertingen 2–3 Heist (08 Feb 2025)
  2. Heist 1–3 Spouwen-Mopertingen (09 Nov 2024)
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