Belgium · First Amateur Division
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Heist Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Heist's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
- Spouwen-Mopertingen's superior attack rating and Poisson share support the home-leaning double chance despite identical form and head-to-head splits.
- Both teams scoring in every recent match and neither keeping regular clean sheets make the +1.5 goals component the safest part of the advice.
- Heist's away defeats and 3.00 away goals-against average expose the defensive weakness that keeps the draw as a genuine fallback.
- The head-to-head record shows both meetings won by the away side, a small sample that tempers confidence in the home-leaning prediction.
- Late goals dominate both teams' concessions, suggesting the +1.5 line could be threatened only if scoring stays unusually early and sparse.
- Predicted winner
- Spouwen-Mopertingen
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Spouwen-Mopertingen or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Spouwen-Mopertingen | Heist |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Recent form: DLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Heist
Recent form: LWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Spouwen-Mopertingen 2–3 Heist (08 Feb 2025)
- Heist 1–3 Spouwen-Mopertingen (09 Nov 2024)


