Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior '31 Prediction
Match prediction
- Sportlust '46's unbeaten seven-match record, including three wins, supports the double-chance advice despite Excelsior '31's slightly superior win count.
- The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the double chance reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Sportlust '46's stronger defence and head-to-head dominance explain why the away win probability is only 10%.
- Excelsior '31's four clean sheets and higher goal output show they can still threaten, qualifying the advice's safety.
- Sportlust '46's recent home loss to Excelsior Maassluis and home draw reveal vulnerability that keeps the draw plausible.
- Head-to-head results are mixed across venues, so the strong h2h home score should not be read as guaranteed home dominance.
- Predicted winner
- Sportlust '46
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Sportlust '46 or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sportlust '46
Recent form: DDWDWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Excelsior '31
Recent form: WWWLDWW.
Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sportlust '46 3–0 Excelsior '31 (28 Mar 2026)
- Excelsior '31 1–2 Sportlust '46 (25 Oct 2025)
- Excelsior '31 1–3 Sportlust '46 (12 Apr 2025)
- Sportlust '46 1–3 Excelsior '31 (09 Nov 2024)
- Sportlust '46 0–0 Excelsior '31 (04 Mar 2023)