Uruguay · Segunda División

Sportivo Huracan vs Miramar Prediction

Sportivo Huracan badgeSportivo Huracan vs Miramar badgeMiramar

Match prediction

  • The model's double-chance advice for Sportivo Huracan or draw rests on a split probability profile: home and draw are level at 45% each, while Miramar is given only 10%, so the recommendation is essentially a bet against an away win rather than a strong endorsement of the home side.
  • The comparison metrics are largely balanced, which qualifies rather than confirms the home lean: form is identical at 50.00 for both teams, goals are also level at 50.00, and the Poisson split is nearly even at 51.00 versus 49.00. The clearer home edges come from attack (54.00 vs 46.00), defence (44.00 vs 56.00) and head-to-head (60.00 vs 40.00), which together lift the total to 51.50 against 48.50.
  • Both teams' season records are strikingly similar in outcome but different in shape: Sportivo Huracan have 8 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses from 25 games, while Miramar have 6 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses. Huracan's home record (5-3-4) is stronger than Miramar's away record (4-2-6), but Huracan's away form includes six failures to score and only four away clean sheets, so their overall edge is modest.
  • The goals analysis suggests a low-scoring, draw-prone contest rather than a decisive home performance: Huracan average 1.10 goals for and 1.20 against, Miramar 1.00 for and 1.20 against, and both teams have gone under 2.5 goals in 23 of 25 matches. Miramar's away scoring (1.30 per game) is actually better than their home scoring (0.70), while Huracan's home attack (1.30) is their stronger venue split, so the attacking advantage may partly cancel out.
  • Recent form is mixed for both sides and does not clearly separate them: Huracan's last five are D-L-W-W-D, including a 3-1 away win at La Luz and a 0-0 at Atenas, while Miramar's last five are D-W-W-L-D, including a 3-1 away win at Oriental and a 1-0 home defeat to Colón. Both have two wins, two draws and one loss in that window, which supports the model's caution and its 45% draw probability.
  • The head-to-head record is the strongest single argument for the home side, but it is also the most dated: Sportivo Huracan have won the last five meetings, including a 1-0 away win at Miramar in June 2026, and lead the H2H metric 60.00 to 40.00. However, four of those five wins came in 2015-2017, and the only recent sample is a single 2026 match, so the historical dominance should be treated as a supporting trend rather than a reliable predictor of another Huracan win.
Predicted winner
Sportivo Huracan
Betting advice
Double chance : Sportivo Huracan or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorSportivo HuracanMiramar
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson51.0%49.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total51.5%48.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Sportivo Huracan

Recent form: DDDWWDDWLDDWWLLLLLLWDWWLD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Miramar

Recent form: LLWLDDDLDWDWLWDLLLDLDDLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Miramar 0–1 Sportivo Huracan (19 Jun 2026)
  2. Miramar 1–2 Sportivo Huracan (18 Nov 2017)
  3. Sportivo Huracan 1–2 Miramar (01 Jul 2017)
  4. Sportivo Huracan 0–2 Miramar (14 May 2016)
  5. Miramar 0–1 Sportivo Huracan (24 Oct 2015)
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