Sporting Lieşti vs FC Oţelul II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Sporting Liești, with a 45% home win probability matched by a 45% draw and only 10% for FC Oțelul II, and its advice combines a Sporting Liești win with over 2.5 goals. That split between home and draw is worth noting, because the comparison metrics are far less balanced: form reads 100.00 to 0.00, attack 83.00 to 17.00, Poisson 86.00 to 14.00, head-to-head 80.00 to 20.00, and goals 75.00 to 25.00, giving a total of 76.20 against 23.80. The team records explain much of that gap, since Sporting Liești are WWLWL with all three wins at home and both defeats away, while FC Oțelul II are LLLLL with no wins, no draws, and a five-match losing streak. Sporting Liești's home profile is especially strong, featuring a 6-0 win and 13 home goals at 4.30 per game, yet their overall defensive numbers are only moderate at 1.70 conceded per game and they lost 1-4 at home to Dinamo Bucuresti. FC Oțelul II have scored just three goals all season at 0.60 per game, failed to score twice, and conceded 2.60 per game, which supports the over 2.5 element but also suggests they may struggle to contribute to it. The last-five records reinforce the contrast: Sporting Liești mixed 5-4 and 6-0 home wins with 2-3 and 0-2 away defeats, while FC Oțelul II lost every match by margins such as 0-3, 1-4, and 1-2. The head-to-head record is small but emphatic, with Sporting Liești winning 6-0 away in March 2026 and drawing 3-3 in October 2025, so it supports the home side without guaranteeing a repeat. Overall, the evidence points toward a Sporting Liești win with goals, but the unusually high draw probability and their mixed away form mean the existing advice should be treated as plausible rather than certain.

Predicted winner

Sporting Lieşti

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Sporting Lieşti and +2.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. FC Oţelul II 0–6 Sporting Lieşti (06 Mar 2026)
2. Sporting Lieşti 3–3 FC Oţelul II (11 Oct 2025)