Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Sporting Gijón II vs Langreo Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Sporting Gijón II's perfect four-win form and superior defensive rating support avoiding a Langreo win, though the low away probability already prices that in.
- Langreo's attack rating slightly exceeds Sporting's, but their leaky defence and two losses in five suggest they cannot be trusted to win away.
- Head-to-head history favours Sporting heavily, yet the most recent meeting was a draw, reinforcing the draw component of the advice.
- Both teams score consistently, with Langreo conceding 1.8 per game, so the match may be open despite the cautious double-chance selection.
- Sporting's four-match sample is small, so the perfect form should be treated as encouraging rather than conclusive for the prediction.
- Predicted winner
- Sporting Gijón II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Sporting Gijón II or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sporting Gijón II | Langreo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Poisson | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| H2h | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sporting Gijón II
Recent form: WWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Langreo
Recent form: LDWW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Langreo 0–0 Sporting Gijón II (03 Aug 2024)
- Sporting Gijón II 1–0 Langreo (10 Nov 2022)
- Sporting Gijón II 2–1 Langreo (07 Feb 2021)
- Langreo 1–1 Sporting Gijón II (08 Nov 2020)
- Sporting Gijón II —–— Langreo (10 May 2020)


