Peru · Copa De La Liga

Sporting Cristal vs ADT Prediction

· Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Sporting Cristal badgeSporting Cristal vs ADT badgeADT

Match prediction

  • Sporting Cristal's unbeaten six-match form and superior attack and defence ratings justify the double-chance advice, though the 45% draw probability signals limited outright-win confidence.
  • ADT's three losses in five, including two away defeats without scoring, weaken their away threat and support covering the draw alongside a home win.
  • The recent head-to-head away win for Cristal at this venue offsets ADT's historical edge, reinforcing that the model favours the home side without guaranteeing victory.
  • Cristal's perfect scoring record contrasts with ADT failing to score in three of six, making a home defeat unlikely and validating the double-chance selection.
  • Both teams' low goals-against averages and Cristal's tendency toward under 2.5 goals suggest a tight contest, which explains why the draw carries equal probability to a home win.
  • The near-even goals comparison and identical defensive averages indicate no clear dominance, so the advice prudently hedges the home win with the draw.
Predicted winner
Sporting Cristal
Betting advice
Double chance : Sporting Cristal or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSporting CristalADT
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence63.0%38.0%
Poisson73.0%27.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total61.2%39.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Sporting Cristal

Recent form: DWWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

ADT

Recent form: DWLWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. ADT 0–1 Sporting Cristal (27 Sep 2026)
  2. Sporting Cristal 2–1 ADT (24 May 2026)
  3. ADT 3–2 Sporting Cristal (04 Oct 2025)
  4. Sporting Cristal 2–1 ADT (17 May 2025)
  5. ADT 3–1 Sporting Cristal (12 Jul 2024)
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