Sporting Cristal vs ADT Prediction
· Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Match prediction
- Sporting Cristal's unbeaten six-match form and superior attack and defence ratings justify the double-chance advice, though the 45% draw probability signals limited outright-win confidence.
- ADT's three losses in five, including two away defeats without scoring, weaken their away threat and support covering the draw alongside a home win.
- The recent head-to-head away win for Cristal at this venue offsets ADT's historical edge, reinforcing that the model favours the home side without guaranteeing victory.
- Cristal's perfect scoring record contrasts with ADT failing to score in three of six, making a home defeat unlikely and validating the double-chance selection.
- Both teams' low goals-against averages and Cristal's tendency toward under 2.5 goals suggest a tight contest, which explains why the draw carries equal probability to a home win.
- The near-even goals comparison and identical defensive averages indicate no clear dominance, so the advice prudently hedges the home win with the draw.
- Predicted winner
- Sporting Cristal
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Sporting Cristal or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sporting Cristal | ADT |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 61.2% | 39.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sporting Cristal
Recent form: DWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
ADT
Recent form: DWLWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- ADT 0–1 Sporting Cristal (27 Sep 2026)
- Sporting Cristal 2–1 ADT (24 May 2026)
- ADT 3–2 Sporting Cristal (04 Oct 2025)
- Sporting Cristal 2–1 ADT (17 May 2025)
- ADT 3–1 Sporting Cristal (12 Jul 2024)


