Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output gives EM Mahdia a double-chance edge of draw or away, with the probabilities split evenly at 45% draw and 45% away against only 10% for Sporting Ben Arous, so the advice rests on a clear but not overwhelming preference. That view is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where head-to-head favours EM Mahdia 62 to 38 and the goals and total aggregates also lean their way at 55 to 45 and 58.5 to 41.5 respectively. However, the form, attack, defence and Poisson columns are all recorded at 0.00 for both sides, which means those comparison inputs carry no discriminating information and should not be read as genuine parity. The team performance and goals analysis sections are similarly empty, with zero fixtures played, zero wins, draws and losses, and 0.00 goal averages for both clubs, so no current-season scoring or defensive trend can be established from them. The last-five records are the most substantive recent evidence: Sporting Ben Arous show a 6-0 home win over Menzel Bourguiba but also three defeats and a draw, while EM Mahdia's sequence includes a 3-0 home win over Ksour Essef alongside three losses and a goalless draw. That recent form is mixed for both teams, which slightly qualifies the model's stronger away lean, since EM Mahdia's only convincing recent result came at home and their away showings produced a loss and a draw. The head-to-head record offers the clearest counterweight to a pure form reading, with the two most recent meetings both drawn 1-1 and 2-2, and EM Mahdia also winning 2-0 at home in 2023 and 1-0 away in the 2022 cup. Those head-to-head results are drawn from a small five-match sample spanning several seasons, so they support the draw-or-EM-Mahdia advice more through consistency than through volume. Overall, the probabilities, head-to-head and aggregate goal metrics align behind the existing double-chance selection, while the empty form and goals-analysis sections and the mixed last-five records mean the case is plausible rather than conclusive.

Predicted winner

EM Mahdia

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or EM Mahdia

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. EM Mahdia 1–1 Sporting Ben Arous (01 Feb 2026)
2. Sporting Ben Arous 2–2 EM Mahdia (04 Oct 2025)
3. Sporting Ben Arous 2–0 EM Mahdia (20 May 2023)
4. EM Mahdia 2–0 Sporting Ben Arous (04 Jan 2023)
5. Sporting Ben Arous 0–1 EM Mahdia (23 Jan 2022)