Germany · Regionalliga - West

Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction

· Leimbachstadion

Sportfreunde Siegen badgeSportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II badgeBorussia Dortmund II

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
  • Dortmund II's unbeaten ten-match record, including two away clean sheets, supports their defensive edge over Siegen's leakier back line.
  • Siegen's attack rating exceeds Dortmund's, yet their home form shows four draws and no losses, explaining why the draw carries equal weight.
  • Head-to-head and Poisson metrics both lean heavily toward Dortmund, reinforcing the away side of the double chance.
  • Dortmund's 0.60 away goals-against average contrasts with Siegen's 1.60, suggesting the visitors are harder to break down on the road.
  • Both teams' recent scoring patterns point to a competitive match, so the draw-or-away advice hedges the genuine uncertainty between the two outcomes.
Predicted winner
Borussia Dortmund II
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund II
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorSportfreunde SiegenBorussia Dortmund II
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson34.0%66.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total40.7%59.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Sportfreunde Siegen

Recent form: LDLDWDWDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Borussia Dortmund II

Recent form: DDWWWDWWDW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sportfreunde Siegen 0–1 Borussia Dortmund II (08 Apr 2026)
  2. Borussia Dortmund II 2–2 Sportfreunde Siegen (03 Aug 2025)
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