Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction
· Leimbachstadion
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
- Dortmund II's unbeaten ten-match record, including two away clean sheets, supports their defensive edge over Siegen's leakier back line.
- Siegen's attack rating exceeds Dortmund's, yet their home form shows four draws and no losses, explaining why the draw carries equal weight.
- Head-to-head and Poisson metrics both lean heavily toward Dortmund, reinforcing the away side of the double chance.
- Dortmund's 0.60 away goals-against average contrasts with Siegen's 1.60, suggesting the visitors are harder to break down on the road.
- Both teams' recent scoring patterns point to a competitive match, so the draw-or-away advice hedges the genuine uncertainty between the two outcomes.
- Predicted winner
- Borussia Dortmund II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund II
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sportfreunde Siegen | Borussia Dortmund II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 40.7% | 59.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sportfreunde Siegen
Recent form: LDLDWDWDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Borussia Dortmund II
Recent form: DDWWWDWWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sportfreunde Siegen 0–1 Borussia Dortmund II (08 Apr 2026)
- Borussia Dortmund II 2–2 Sportfreunde Siegen (03 Aug 2025)


