Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern Prediction

Sportfreunde Schwaig badgeSportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern badgeKottern

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favorite reflects genuine uncertainty.
  • Schwaig's seven draws in twelve matches, including five at home, directly supports the draw component of the double-chance recommendation.
  • Kottern's six losses and four failed-to-score matches contrast with Schwaig's single defeat, reinforcing the home side's lower risk profile.
  • Schwaig's superior attack and Poisson ratings, alongside a dominant head-to-head record, strengthen the home-or-draw case despite Kottern's slightly better recent form.
  • Kottern's 1.8 goals conceded per away game and tendency to concede in the 46-60 window suggest Schwaig can score, but Schwaig's own draw habit caps outright-win confidence.
  • The narrow 10% away probability aligns with Kottern's poor away form and head-to-head disadvantage, making an away win the least likely outcome.
Predicted winner
Sportfreunde Schwaig
Betting advice
Double chance : Sportfreunde Schwaig or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorSportfreunde SchwaigKottern
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total62.2%37.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Sportfreunde Schwaig

Recent form: WWDLDDDWDDDW.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Kottern

Recent form: WLLLLDLDWLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sportfreunde Schwaig 0–0 Kottern (27 Mar 2026)
  2. Kottern 2–4 Sportfreunde Schwaig (06 Sep 2025)
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