Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favorite reflects genuine uncertainty.
- Schwaig's seven draws in twelve matches, including five at home, directly supports the draw component of the double-chance recommendation.
- Kottern's six losses and four failed-to-score matches contrast with Schwaig's single defeat, reinforcing the home side's lower risk profile.
- Schwaig's superior attack and Poisson ratings, alongside a dominant head-to-head record, strengthen the home-or-draw case despite Kottern's slightly better recent form.
- Kottern's 1.8 goals conceded per away game and tendency to concede in the 46-60 window suggest Schwaig can score, but Schwaig's own draw habit caps outright-win confidence.
- The narrow 10% away probability aligns with Kottern's poor away form and head-to-head disadvantage, making an away win the least likely outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Sportfreunde Schwaig
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Sportfreunde Schwaig or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sportfreunde Schwaig | Kottern |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 62.2% | 37.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sportfreunde Schwaig
Recent form: WWDLDDDWDDDW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Kottern
Recent form: WLLLLDLDWLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sportfreunde Schwaig 0–0 Kottern (27 Mar 2026)
- Kottern 2–4 Sportfreunde Schwaig (06 Sep 2025)


