Sport Recife vs São Bernardo Prediction
· Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or São Bernardo
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% São Bernardo split makes the double chance coherent, since the away side is favored but not decisively.
- Sport Recife's 10% win probability reflects a home record of one loss in fifteen, yet only seven wins, showing draws dominate their home profile.
- São Bernardo's superior defence rating of 70 versus Sport's 30 supports the away lean, though their away scoring average of 1.6 offsets that edge.
- The head-to-head 0-0 draw and near-even form ratings suggest a tight, low-scoring contest, reinforcing the draw component of the advice.
- Sport Recife's attack rating of 53 exceeds São Bernardo's 47, a counterweight that explains why the model stops short of backing an outright away win.
- São Bernardo's recent away form of two wins and a draw without conceding strengthens the away side of the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- São Bernardo
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or São Bernardo
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sport Recife | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Poisson | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 44.6% | 55.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sport Recife
Recent form: DDWDDWWWLWWDDDLLDDDDWWLWLLWLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
São Bernardo
Recent form: DLWLWWWWDWDWDLLLDDLLWLDDLWLWWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- São Bernardo 0–0 Sport Recife (14 Jun 2026)