Brazil · Paraibano 2

Sport PB vs Cruzeiro PB Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro PB and -3.5 goals

Sport PB badgeSport PB vs Cruzeiro PB badgeCruzeiro PB

Match prediction

  • Cruzeiro PB's stronger defensive profile and superior recent form underpin the model's 45% away win probability and the draw-or-away double chance advice.
  • Sport PB's superior attack rating conflicts with its weaker overall form, explaining why the model still assigns only a 10% home win probability.
  • Both teams' goal records show every match staying under 3.5 goals, directly supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Cruzeiro PB's low scoring output and four draws in six matches make the draw a genuine alternative within the double chance.
  • The single head-to-head meeting ended 2-0 to Cruzeiro PB, reinforcing the away-side lean despite the small sample.
  • Sport PB's home advantage is offset by just one win in six and three failures to score, keeping the home win probability minimal.
Predicted winner
Cruzeiro PB
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro PB and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSport PBCruzeiro PB
Form45.0%55.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence22.0%78.0%
Poisson53.0%47.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total45.8%54.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Sport PB

Recent form: DLDWLD.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Cruzeiro PB

Recent form: DDLDDW.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sport PB 0–2 Cruzeiro PB (14 Sep 2024)
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