USA · USL League One

Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction

· One Spokane Stadium

Spokane Velocity badgeSpokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine badgePortland Hearts of Pine

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even three-way split, with home and draw each at 35%, explains why double chance is advised rather than an outright home win.
  • Spokane's strong home record of ten wins in fourteen supports the home side of the double chance despite Portland's superior head-to-head and goals metrics.
  • Portland's away form is weak, with only two wins in fourteen, which offsets their attacking edge and reinforces the draw component of the advice.
  • Portland's heavy late scoring and conceding pattern suggests goals cluster near the end, adding variance that makes the draw protection valuable.
  • Spokane's recent five matches show two wins and two draws, indicating defensive solidity that supports avoiding defeat rather than chasing a win.
  • The head-to-head record favours Portland, creating tension with the home-leaning advice, but small samples and venue effects limit its weight.
Predicted winner
Spokane Velocity
Betting advice
Double chance : Spokane Velocity or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSpokane VelocityPortland Hearts of Pine
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total48.2%51.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Spokane Velocity

Recent form: WWLDWWDWWLLLWLLWWWLWWDLDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Portland Hearts of Pine

Recent form: WDLDDWLDDWLLLWWLLDLLDDLLWWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Portland Hearts of Pine 2–1 Spokane Velocity (31 May 2026)
  2. Spokane Velocity 1–1 Portland Hearts of Pine (10 Nov 2025)
  3. Portland Hearts of Pine 6–1 Spokane Velocity (22 Oct 2025)
  4. Spokane Velocity 0–0 Portland Hearts of Pine (06 Apr 2025)
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