Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction
· One Spokane Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's near-even three-way split, with home and draw each at 35%, explains why double chance is advised rather than an outright home win.
- Spokane's strong home record of ten wins in fourteen supports the home side of the double chance despite Portland's superior head-to-head and goals metrics.
- Portland's away form is weak, with only two wins in fourteen, which offsets their attacking edge and reinforces the draw component of the advice.
- Portland's heavy late scoring and conceding pattern suggests goals cluster near the end, adding variance that makes the draw protection valuable.
- Spokane's recent five matches show two wins and two draws, indicating defensive solidity that supports avoiding defeat rather than chasing a win.
- The head-to-head record favours Portland, creating tension with the home-leaning advice, but small samples and venue effects limit its weight.
- Predicted winner
- Spokane Velocity
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Spokane Velocity or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Spokane Velocity | Portland Hearts of Pine |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| H2h | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 48.2% | 51.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Spokane Velocity
Recent form: WWLDWWDWWLLLWLLWWWLWWDLDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Portland Hearts of Pine
Recent form: WDLDDWLDDWLLLWWLLDLLDDLLWWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Portland Hearts of Pine 2–1 Spokane Velocity (31 May 2026)
- Spokane Velocity 1–1 Portland Hearts of Pine (10 Nov 2025)
- Portland Hearts of Pine 6–1 Spokane Velocity (22 Oct 2025)
- Spokane Velocity 0–0 Portland Hearts of Pine (06 Apr 2025)


