Norway · 3. Division - Girone 2

Spjelkavik vs Ranheim II Prediction

Spjelkavik badgeSpjelkavik vs Ranheim II badgeRanheim II

Match prediction

  • The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the double chance reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Spjelkavik's superior recent form and head-to-head record support the home side, though Ranheim II's stronger attack tempers that confidence.
  • Ranheim II's defensive frailty, conceding 3.30 per game and shipping four or more in three of five, makes the +1.5 goals component well supported.
  • Both teams' goal totals and the head-to-head's high-scoring history point toward goals, reinforcing the over 1.5 selection.
  • Ranheim II's away form is poor with seven losses, yet their occasional heavy wins show the volatility that justifies only a double chance.
  • The 10% away probability is unusually low, so the advice sensibly avoids backing Spjelkavik outright despite their overall edge.
Predicted winner
Spjelkavik
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Spjelkavik or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSpjelkavikRanheim II
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson54.0%46.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total55.8%44.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Spjelkavik

Recent form: DLLDWDDLWWLLWWLWWLLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Ranheim II

Recent form: LDWLDLWLDDWWLWLLDWLLL.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ranheim II 5–3 Spjelkavik (18 Apr 2026)
  2. Ranheim II 1–4 Spjelkavik (13 Sep 2025)
  3. Spjelkavik 2–2 Ranheim II (05 Jul 2025)
  4. Ranheim II 0–7 Spjelkavik (26 Sep 2021)
  5. Ranheim II —–— Spjelkavik (26 Sep 2020)
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