Spišská Nová Ves vs Poprad Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output gives Spišská Nová Ves a 45% home win and 45% draw against Poprad's 10%, framing the advice as a double chance on the home side or draw rather than a confident outright win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Poprad lead on form (56 vs 44), attack (63 vs 38) and Poisson (55 vs 45), while Spišská Nová Ves dominate the head-to-head (71 vs 29) and goals (73 vs 27) splits, leaving the total scores nearly level at 52.30 versus 47.80. The team analysis shows both clubs on four wins from seven, but Spišská Nová Ves have drawn once and lost twice while Poprad have no draws and three defeats, so the hosts' marginally steadier record is offset by Poprad's superior attacking output. Poprad's goals analysis reinforces that edge, with 12 goals scored at 1.70 per game and 2.00 per away match, compared with 9 goals at 1.30 for Spišská Nová Ves, although the visitors also concede more overall at 1.00 per game against 1.10 for the hosts. The last-five records complicate the picture further, as Spišská Nová Ves have lost three of five including a 3-0 defeat at Lipany, while Poprad have won two of five but lost their last two away matches 2-1 and 3-2. The head-to-head record is the strongest single argument for the advice, since Spišská Nová Ves have won four of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 league win in May 2026 and a 1-0 friendly success in July 2026, with Poprad's only recent reply a 2-0 away win in October 2025. However, that head-to-head sample spans several seasons and includes a friendly, so it may overstate the current gap, especially as Poprad's form and attack metrics point the other way. The goals data also suggest a low-scoring contest, with both teams under 2.5 goals in six of seven matches and Spišská Nová Ves failing to score twice, which helps explain why the draw carries the same 45% probability as a home win. Overall, the evidence supports the double chance as a hedge rather than a strong home victory, because the head-to-head and goals splits favour Spišská Nová Ves while form, attack and Poisson favour Poprad, and the draw probability is unusually high.

Predicted winner

Spišská Nová Ves

Betting advice

Double chance : Spišská Nová Ves or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Spišská Nová Ves 1–0 Poprad (25 Jul 2026)
2. Spišská Nová Ves 3–0 Poprad (02 May 2026)
3. Poprad 0–2 Spišská Nová Ves (04 Oct 2025)
4. Poprad 0–0 Spišská Nová Ves (01 Mar 2025)
5. Spišská Nová Ves 2–3 Poprad (03 Aug 2024)