Brazil · Paraibano 2

Spartax vs Cruzeiro PB Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro PB and -3.5 goals

Spartax badgeSpartax vs Cruzeiro PB badgeCruzeiro PB

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% Cruzeiro PB split makes the double chance the logical core of the advice, since the away win alone carries no clear edge.
  • Cruzeiro PB's defensive score of 82 against Spartax's 18 explains why the model favors them despite only one win in six matches.
  • Spartax's attack rating of 73 is undermined by just one win in six, suggesting their scoring threat rarely converts into results.
  • Cruzeiro PB's four scoreless outings in six, including three straight blanks, support the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Both head-to-head meetings were won by the home side, a split that weakens any strong away-win claim and reinforces the draw protection.
  • Spartax's five goals conceded in a recent away loss shows defensive fragility, yet their unbeaten home record keeps the draw probability elevated.
Predicted winner
Cruzeiro PB
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro PB and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSpartaxCruzeiro PB
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack73.0%27.0%
Defence18.0%82.0%
Poisson48.0%52.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total46.5%53.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Spartax

Recent form: WDDLDD.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Cruzeiro PB

Recent form: DDLDDW.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cruzeiro PB 2–0 Spartax (12 Sep 2025)
  2. Spartax 4–2 Cruzeiro PB (26 Aug 2024)
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