Scotland · League Two

Spartans vs Kelty Hearts Prediction

· Ainslie Park

Spartans badgeSpartans vs Kelty Hearts badgeKelty Hearts

Match prediction

  • The model's 35% home and draw probabilities leave Spartans only marginally favoured, so the combo advice carries limited conviction.
  • Spartans' superior form, attack, and Poisson scores support the home lean, though the narrow probability gap tempers confidence.
  • Kelty Hearts' strong head-to-head record and perfect goals comparison conflict with the home prediction, suggesting the model weights recent form more heavily.
  • Both teams' defensive records and frequent over 1.5 goal outcomes make the goals component of the advice more reliable than the winner.
  • Spartans' late-scoring tendency and Kelty's late concessions support goals arriving, reinforcing the over 1.5 element.
  • Kelty's poor away form, with no wins and heavy defeats, strengthens the case for Spartans despite the modest probability edge.
Predicted winner
Spartans
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Spartans and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSpartansKelty Hearts
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson84.0%16.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total55.6%44.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Spartans

Recent form: WDLDDWWL.

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Kelty Hearts

Recent form: LWLWLWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Kelty Hearts —–— Spartans (09 Feb 2021)
  2. Spartans 0–4 Kelty Hearts (15 Dec 2020)
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