Spartans vs Kelty Hearts Prediction
· Ainslie Park
Match prediction
- The model's 35% home and draw probabilities leave Spartans only marginally favoured, so the combo advice carries limited conviction.
- Spartans' superior form, attack, and Poisson scores support the home lean, though the narrow probability gap tempers confidence.
- Kelty Hearts' strong head-to-head record and perfect goals comparison conflict with the home prediction, suggesting the model weights recent form more heavily.
- Both teams' defensive records and frequent over 1.5 goal outcomes make the goals component of the advice more reliable than the winner.
- Spartans' late-scoring tendency and Kelty's late concessions support goals arriving, reinforcing the over 1.5 element.
- Kelty's poor away form, with no wins and heavy defeats, strengthens the case for Spartans despite the modest probability edge.
- Predicted winner
- Spartans
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Spartans and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Spartans | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Defence | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Poisson | 84.0% | 16.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 55.6% | 44.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Spartans
Recent form: WDLDDWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Kelty Hearts
Recent form: LWLWLWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Kelty Hearts —–— Spartans (09 Feb 2021)
- Spartans 0–4 Kelty Hearts (15 Dec 2020)


