Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów Prediction
Match prediction
- Sparta Katowice's perfect home record and six clean sheets in ten matches underpin the model's 45% home win probability.
- Warta Gorzów's away form is weak, with two losses and a 5-1 defeat, supporting the prediction against them.
- The head-to-head record is split 50-50, but both wins came away, which tempers confidence in a straightforward home victory.
- Sparta's attack averages 2.3 goals at home while Warta concedes 2.4 away, reinforcing the home side's scoring edge.
- The draw probability equals the home win at 45%, reflecting Warta's four draws and the risk of dropped points.
- Sparta's recent form of seven wins in ten contrasts sharply with Warta's three, strengthening the winner advice despite the draw threat.
- Predicted winner
- Sparta Katowice
- Betting advice
- Winner : Sparta Katowice
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sparta Katowice | Warta Gorzów |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| Attack | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Defence | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Poisson | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sparta Katowice
Recent form: LWDWWWWDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Warta Gorzów
Recent form: LWDDWLDWLD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sparta Katowice 3–4 Warta Gorzów (29 Nov 2025)
- Warta Gorzów 0–2 Sparta Katowice (09 Aug 2025)