Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D

Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou Prediction

Sparta Brno badgeSparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou badgeŽdírec nad Doubravou

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than an outright win, since the away side's 10% chance is minimal.
  • Sparta Brno's perfect head-to-head record and superior Poisson rating support their unbeaten expectation, though the draw probability tempers confidence in a clean victory.
  • Ždírec's stronger attack rating conflicts with their poor away form, suggesting they can score but not enough to overturn the home side's advantage.
  • Sparta Brno's solid home defence and Ždírec's heavy away defeats indicate the visitors are unlikely to secure a result in Brno.
  • Both teams' goal records show frequent matches exceeding 1.5 goals, supporting the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Ždírec's tendency to lose away and concede multiple goals reinforces the double chance selection while the goal line remains plausible.
Predicted winner
Sparta Brno
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Sparta Brno or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSparta BrnoŽdírec nad Doubravou
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack39.0%61.0%
Defence59.0%41.0%
Poisson81.0%19.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Sparta Brno

Recent form: LDWLWLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Ždírec nad Doubravou

Recent form: LDLDLWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sparta Brno 2–1 Ždírec nad Doubravou (21 Mar 2026)
  2. Ždírec nad Doubravou 0–1 Sparta Brno (17 Aug 2025)
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