Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D
Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than an outright win, since the away side's 10% chance is minimal.
- Sparta Brno's perfect head-to-head record and superior Poisson rating support their unbeaten expectation, though the draw probability tempers confidence in a clean victory.
- Ždírec's stronger attack rating conflicts with their poor away form, suggesting they can score but not enough to overturn the home side's advantage.
- Sparta Brno's solid home defence and Ždírec's heavy away defeats indicate the visitors are unlikely to secure a result in Brno.
- Both teams' goal records show frequent matches exceeding 1.5 goals, supporting the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
- Ždírec's tendency to lose away and concede multiple goals reinforces the double chance selection while the goal line remains plausible.
- Predicted winner
- Sparta Brno
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Sparta Brno or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sparta Brno | Ždírec nad Doubravou |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Defence | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Poisson | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sparta Brno
Recent form: LDWLWLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Ždírec nad Doubravou
Recent form: LDLDLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sparta Brno 2–1 Ždírec nad Doubravou (21 Mar 2026)
- Ždírec nad Doubravou 0–1 Sparta Brno (17 Aug 2025)


