Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam Prediction
· Sportpark De Westmaat
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
- Identical 50% form ratings for both sides undercut any clear momentum edge, supporting caution rather than a single-winner pick.
- AFC Amsterdam's superior defence and Poisson ratings tilt the underlying metrics away from Spakenburg despite the level form.
- Spakenburg's heavy recent away defeat and mixed home record weaken their case, though home fixtures remain their stronger venue.
- AFC Amsterdam's late concession pattern and modest clean-sheet count qualify their defensive edge, keeping draw risk live.
- Head-to-head results favour AFC Amsterdam overall, but Spakenburg's home win in this fixture shows venue can override that trend.
- Predicted winner
- AFC Amsterdam
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or AFC Amsterdam
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Spakenburg | AFC Amsterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Spakenburg
Recent form: WLWLWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
AFC Amsterdam
Recent form: LWWLDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- AFC Amsterdam 2–0 Spakenburg (28 Mar 2026)
- Spakenburg 2–1 AFC Amsterdam (25 Oct 2025)
- Spakenburg 3–2 AFC Amsterdam (09 Aug 2025)
- AFC Amsterdam 1–0 Spakenburg (22 Feb 2025)
- Spakenburg 1–2 AFC Amsterdam (28 Sep 2024)