World · UEFA Nations League

Spain vs Czechia Prediction

Spain badgeSpain vs Czechia badgeCzechia

Match prediction

  • Spain's perfect recent form and superior attack ratings justify the model's home win, though the 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Czechia's two straight losses without scoring suggest they will struggle, supporting the Spain side of the combo.
  • Spain's goals in every recent match and Czechia's defensive leaks make the +1.5 goals component well aligned with the evidence.
  • The head-to-head record favors Spain, but Czechia's 2022 away draw shows they can occasionally frustrate stronger hosts.
  • Both teams' matches have frequently exceeded 1.5 goals, reinforcing the over component despite Czechia's scoring drought.
  • The equal 45% home and draw probabilities indicate the model sees this as closer than form suggests, so the combo carries risk.
Predicted winner
Spain
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Spain and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSpainCzechia
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack88.0%13.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h88.0%13.0%
Goals71.0%29.0%
Total76.0%24.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Spain

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 3.50 per match.

Czechia

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Spain 2–0 Czechia (12 Jun 2022)
  2. Czechia 2–2 Spain (05 Jun 2022)
  3. Spain 1–0 Czechia (13 Jun 2016)
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