Sozopol vs Sekirovo Rakovski Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output leans toward Sozopol, with a 45% home win probability and an identical 45% draw probability, leaving Sekirovo Rakovski at just 10%, and the advised combination of a Sozopol win with over 1.5 goals reflects that same lean. That advice is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Sozopol leads on form (71 versus 29), defence (77 versus 23), Poisson (79 versus 21), head-to-head (93 versus 7), goals (80 versus 20) and the overall total (75.80 versus 24.20), though the attack split is narrower at 55 versus 45. The team analysis supports the defensive gap: Sozopol have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 7 matches with 14 goals scored and 11 conceded, while Sekirovo have only 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses with 11 scored and 21 conceded. Sozopol's recent form of LLWWLWD is mixed rather than dominant, and their last five include a 0-0 draw at Botev Plovdiv II, a 4-2 home win over Neftochimic Burgas, a 0-1 loss at Atletik Kuklen, a 3-1 home win over Dimitrovgrad and a 4-1 away win at Levski Karlovo, showing they can score but also blank. Sekirovo's LDDLLLW and last five of a 5-3 home win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv II, a 1-6 loss at Levski Krumovgrad, a 0-4 home loss to Maritsa Milevo, a 1-2 loss at Gigant Saedinenie and a 2-2 draw at Botev Plovdiv II point to a leaky defence that has conceded in every match, with 3.00 goals against per game. The goals analysis reinforces the over 1.5 element, since Sozopol have gone over 1.5 in 4 of 7 matches and Sekirovo have gone over 1.5 in 3 of 7, while Sekirovo's matches have produced over 0.5 goals in all 7 and over 1.5 in all 7. The head-to-head record is the strongest single signal for Sozopol, with 3 Sozopol wins, 2 draws and 1 Sekirovo win across six meetings, including a 1-0 Sozopol home win in November 2025 and a 2-0 home win in March 2025, although the most recent meeting in May 2026 was a 1-0 Sekirovo away win. The main tension is that the 45% draw probability is as high as the home win probability, so the model's own numbers do not describe a clear favourite, and the small seven-match samples plus the missing minute-by-minute goal data mean the trends should be treated as indicative rather than decisive.

Predicted winner

Sozopol

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Sozopol and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Sekirovo Rakovski 0–1 Sozopol (23 May 2026)
2. Sozopol 1–0 Sekirovo Rakovski (22 Nov 2025)
3. Sozopol 2–0 Sekirovo Rakovski (08 Mar 2025)
4. Sekirovo Rakovski 1–1 Sozopol (24 Aug 2024)
5. Sozopol 3–1 Sekirovo Rakovski (23 Mar 2024)