Southend vs AFC Fylde Prediction
· Roots Hall
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split between Southend and the draw, with the away win close behind, frames the double-chance advice as a hedge rather than a confident home call.
- Southend's superior attack and defensive metrics contrast with AFC Fylde's stronger form and Poisson edge, so the two sides' strengths pull in opposite directions.
- Both teams scoring in nearly every recent match supports the +1.5 goals component, since clean sheets have been rare for either side.
- Southend's unbeaten away record and Fylde's five away wins show both clubs travel better than they host, weakening any strong home-venue assumption.
- The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced across four meetings, offering no decisive historical lean toward either the home win or the draw.
- Late goals dominate both teams' scoring and conceding patterns, suggesting the +1.5 line could be settled well before full time.
- Predicted winner
- Southend
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Southend or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Southend | AFC Fylde |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Southend
Recent form: WWWLDWDWWLD.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
AFC Fylde
Recent form: DWLWWDWWLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Southend 2–0 AFC Fylde (28 Jan 2025)
- AFC Fylde 2–1 Southend (17 Sep 2024)
- AFC Fylde 0–2 Southend (13 Apr 2024)
- Southend 1–2 AFC Fylde (23 Sep 2023)