South Korea vs Uzbekistan Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : South Korea or draw
Match prediction
- South Korea's win probability equals the draw at 45%, so the double chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Uzbekistan's superior attack rating and away scoring form qualify the advice, since they can punish a South Korean defence rated strongest at home.
- South Korea's perfect home clean-sheet record and 4-0 head-to-head win in Brisbane support the home side avoiding defeat.
- Uzbekistan's away losses to Portugal and Congo DR show vulnerability on the road, reinforcing the double chance rather than a straight home win.
- The head-to-head record is split across five meetings, so historical dominance should not be overstated despite South Korea's strong h2h rating.
- South Korea's recent home form includes a 4-1 loss to Uruguay, a warning that the draw half of the double chance carries real risk.
- Predicted winner
- South Korea
- Betting advice
- Double chance : South Korea or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | South Korea | Uzbekistan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| Total | 69.2% | 30.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
South Korea
Recent form: LLWWWLD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Uzbekistan
Recent form: DWLLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Uzbekistan 0–4 South Korea (20 Nov 2018)
- Uzbekistan 0–0 South Korea (05 Sep 2017)
- South Korea 2–1 Uzbekistan (15 Nov 2016)
- South Korea 2–0 Uzbekistan (22 Jan 2015)
- Uzbekistan 2–3 South Korea (28 Jan 2011)