Oberliga - Niederrhein · Germany
Sonsbeck vs Solingen-Wald Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Sonsbeck a 45% home win and 45% draw against Solingen-Wald’s 10% away win, so the “Sonsbeck or draw” double chance reflects a combined 90% probability rather than a clear outright winner. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where form is level at 50.00 for both sides and the Poisson split leans heavily to Sonsbeck at 72.00 versus 28.00, even though Solingen-Wald holds a slight attacking edge at 53.00 against 47.00. The defensive gap is the strongest single contrast: Sonsbeck’s 71.00 defence rating against Solingen-Wald’s 29.00 helps explain why the model still favours the home side despite the away team’s better attack score. Sonsbeck’s six-match record of two wins, four draws and no defeats, including a 4-2 home win over SSVg Velbert and a 1-0 away win at KFC Uerdingen 05, shows a resilient but low-margin profile that fits the draw-heavy probability. Solingen-Wald’s 3-3-0 record is more volatile, with three wins but also three defeats, no clean sheets in six matches and a 1-4 home loss to SF Baumberg, which weakens confidence in their 10% away-win share. The goals analysis reinforces that tension: Sonsbeck average 1.30 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Solingen-Wald average 1.70 scored but 2.20 conceded, so the visitors’ greater scoring output is offset by a defence that has conceded in every match. Sonsbeck’s last five—W, D, W, D, D—include two clean sheets and only three goals conceded, whereas Solingen-Wald’s last five—W, W, L, L, W—show alternating results and eight goals conceded, suggesting Sonsbeck’s stability is the more reliable recent trend. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical record can be used to support or challenge the prediction, and the goals-by-minute data is also unavailable, leaving the timing of goals unexplained. Overall, the evidence supports the existing double-chance advice as a cautious reading of a match where Sonsbeck’s defence and unbeaten run outweigh Solingen-Wald’s attacking edge, but the level form and absent head-to-head data mean the outcome remains uncertain.
- Predicted winner
- Sonsbeck
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Sonsbeck or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sonsbeck | Solingen-Wald |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Poisson | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sonsbeck
Recent form: DDDWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Solingen-Wald
Recent form: LWLLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


