Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Jove Español Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear Soneja edge.
- Soneja's stronger form and defensive metrics support avoiding an away win, though their alternating results show inconsistency.
- Jove Español's winless record with two away defeats and no clean sheets weakens their case for an upset.
- Head-to-head results are evenly split and venue-dependent, which tempers any home advantage inference.
- Both attacks average one goal per game, suggesting a low-scoring match where the draw component carries real weight.
- Soneja's recent 5-2 home win over Jove Español is a small sample and should not be treated as decisive.
- Predicted winner
- Soneja
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Soneja or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
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Prediction comparison
| Factor | Soneja | Jove Español |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Poisson | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Soneja
Recent form: LDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Jove Español
Recent form: LDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Soneja 5–2 Jove Español (09 May 2026)
- Jove Español 3–1 Soneja (10 Jan 2026)
- Soneja 3–0 Jove Español (30 Mar 2025)
- Jove Español 1–1 Soneja (16 Nov 2024)
- Soneja 0–1 Jove Español (24 Mar 2024)