Burkina-Faso · Ligue 1

SONABEL vs Comoé Prediction

· Stade de la SONABEL

SONABEL badgeSONABEL vs Comoé badgeComoé

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the equal split signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear home superiority.
  • SONABEL's two straight league defeats and zero form score conflict with their 80% head-to-head edge, suggesting the advice leans on historical dominance over current momentum.
  • Comoé's perfect recent form and superior defensive record qualify the home pick, yet their only loss came away, supporting the draw component of the double chance.
  • Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • SONABEL's attack rating of 67 against Comoé's defence of 80 indicates a low-scoring contest, consistent with the under 3.5 goals selection.
  • The head-to-head sample of just two matches limits its predictive weight, so the 80% home edge should be treated as a weak signal rather than decisive evidence.
Predicted winner
SONABEL
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : SONABEL or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSONABELComoé
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence20.0%80.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Team form and goal analysis

SONABEL

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Comoé

Recent form: LW.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Comoé 0–1 SONABEL (17 May 2025)
  2. SONABEL 1–1 Comoé (05 Oct 2024)
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