Somozas vs Sarriana Prediction

Match prediction

• Sarriana's 45% win probability matches the draw's 45%, so the double-chance advice correctly hedges rather than backing an outright away win.
• Somozas have drawn both home games without winning, while Sarriana won three of four, supporting the draw-or-away combination.
• Sarriana's superior attack and form ratings contrast with Somozas' blunt scoring, yet the modest 45% away probability shows the model still respects home-draw risk.
• Both teams' goal totals stayed under 3.5 in every recent match, giving the -3.5 goals component of the advice solid statistical backing.
• Sarriana's head-to-head dominance is offset by Somozas' home draws, which explains why the draw carries equal probability to an away win.
• Somozas failed to score in three of four matches, reinforcing that the value lies in the double chance and low-goal line rather than a home result.

Predicted winner

Sarriana

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Sarriana and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Sarriana 5–0 Somozas (15 Feb 2025)
2. Somozas 2–3 Sarriana (06 Oct 2024)
3. Sarriana 3–2 Somozas (27 Apr 2024)
4. Somozas 0–3 Sarriana (17 Dec 2023)