Solin vs Trnje Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Trnje a double-chance edge of draw or away win, with the probabilities split evenly at 45% draw and 45% Trnje against only 10% for a Solin victory. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Trnje leads on form (67 versus 33), attack (60 versus 40), defence (67 versus 33), Poisson (73 versus 27), head-to-head (64 versus 36), goals (58 versus 42) and the aggregate total (64.8 versus 35.2), so nearly every dimension points the same direction. The team records tell a similar story: Trnje's last five read WWWDL with three wins, one draw and one loss, while Solin's DLWDL yields just one win, two draws and two losses. Trnje's defensive numbers are the standout, conceding only 0.8 goals per game overall and 0.3 at home with three clean sheets, whereas Solin ship 1.6 per game and have kept only one clean sheet. Solin's attacking output is modest at 1.2 goals per game, and although they have scored in every match, they have never exceeded 2.5 goals in a game, which limits their capacity to overturn the model's lean. Trnje's 1.8 goals per game is stronger, but their away scoring of 2.5 per game sits alongside an away concession rate of 1.5, and their most recent outing was a 0-1 home defeat, so the form trend is not unblemished. The head-to-head record offers the clearest qualification: across four meetings Trnje won twice, Solin once and one was drawn, yet the most recent fixture at this same venue finished 2-2, showing Solin can hold Trnje on their own ground. The draw probability of 45% is therefore consistent with both the even recent head-to-head and Solin's habit of drawing, while the 10% home-win figure reflects their lack of wins at home this season. Overall, the evidence broadly supports the draw-or-Trnje advice, but the small five-match samples and the recent 2-2 between these sides mean the conclusion should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Trnje

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Trnje

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Solin 2–2 Trnje (14 Mar 2026)
2. Trnje 2–1 Solin (13 Sep 2025)
3. Trnje 3–1 Solin (17 May 2025)
4. Solin 1–0 Trnje (16 Nov 2024)