National League · England

Solihull Moors vs Boreham Wood Prediction

· Damson Park

Solihull Moors badgeSolihull Moors vs Boreham Wood badgeBoreham Wood

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Boreham Wood as the winner, but its 45% away probability is matched by a 45% draw and only a 10% home chance, so the advice is far from decisive. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Boreham Wood dominate form (76 versus 24), attack (71 versus 29), defence (63 versus 38) and Poisson (87 versus 13), yet Solihull Moors hold an 80-to-20 head-to-head edge and a 73-to-27 goals comparison that pull in the opposite direction. The team records sharpen this tension: Boreham Wood are unbeaten across nine matches with seven wins and two draws, while Solihull Moors have lost seven of nine and show a five-match losing streak within a form line of LLLLLDLWL. Solihull Moors' goals analysis is similarly weak, with 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded per game, including 3.30 conceded on their travels, and they have failed to exceed 2.5 goals in any match. Boreham Wood average 2.60 scored and just 1.20 conceded, have scored in every game, and their 23 goals are split almost evenly home and away, which supports the view that their threat is not venue-dependent. The last-five records tell a compatible story, as Boreham Wood have won three and drawn two of five while Solihull Moors have one win, one draw and three defeats, although the away side's most recent outing was only a 1-1 draw with Everton U21. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight, since Solihull Moors have won four of the last ten meetings, including a 4-1 home victory in April 2026 and a 2-0 win in March 2024, while Boreham Wood's most recent success in the series was a 2-1 home win in December 2025. Because the head-to-head sample spans several seasons and the form and goal samples cover only nine matches, the model's split 45-45 draw-and-away probabilities look like a reasonable expression of uncertainty rather than a strong endorsement of either side.

Predicted winner
Boreham Wood
Betting advice
Winner : Boreham Wood
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorSolihull MoorsBoreham Wood
Form24.0%76.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence38.0%63.0%
Poisson13.0%87.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals73.0%27.0%
Total42.8%57.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Solihull Moors

Recent form: LLLLLDLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Boreham Wood

Recent form: DWWWWWDWW.

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Solihull Moors 4–1 Boreham Wood (06 Apr 2026)
  2. Boreham Wood 2–1 Solihull Moors (30 Dec 2025)
  3. Solihull Moors 2–0 Boreham Wood (12 Mar 2024)
  4. Boreham Wood 1–2 Solihull Moors (16 Aug 2023)
  5. Solihull Moors 2–0 Boreham Wood (18 Mar 2023)
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